But, with three top-20 finishes over five career Arnold Palmer Invitational appearances, he can still be an active contributor in DraftKings lineups. Matchup Results from the Honda Classic: Caddie: 1 for 1 (Griffin (+130) over Frittelli and O Hair, Round 1); Mayo: 1 for 1 (Meronk (+105) over C. Davis); Gehman: 1 for 1 (M.W. WebChris Kirk captured his first PGA Tour title since 2015, outlasting 34-year-old rookie Eric Cole in a sudden-death playoff. The 37-year-old earned his fifth PGA Tour win and first since 2015 at the 2023 Honda Classic on Sunday after beating rookie Eric Cole in a playoff at PGA National in Palm Beach Gardens, Florida. Anyone who follows McDonald's advice has been cashing in! That may not sound like much, but for this price, that combination of tee-to-green consistency and course history prowess make a great formula for a top-40 push. Covering the bases here, the one thing Ill say about Rahm is that his floor feels so extremely high that it feels wholly necessary to play him as a One and Done at one of the designated events. Each of the two rivals had claimed the other was always stealing his ideas. Yes, this is a tough field, but Lowry is not the type you write off in these spots. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Rory McIlroy (+110) over Jon Rahm (PointsBet) Rorys strokes-gained numbers at Bay Hill are insanehes gained nearly 75 strokes to the field in his eight appearances here. With that said, the below plays still offer great value in the placement betting market. His consistent ball striking and history in these conditions make for a high floor and solid placement consideration this week. managing editor: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) This is inching toward a community bet, and golf betting isnt that easy. >. Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Cam Davis. Hes third in weighted SG/approach over the past year, fourth in wSG/off the tee and 11th in par-5 scoring, per RickRunGood.com (weighted strokes-gained numbers factors in field strength). Farmers: Taylor Montgomery. Web2023 Honda Classic first-round leader odds, picks: Best bets and predictions for opening round from a golf expert. Like Lowry, Fleetwood is built to contend at events like this. NEC Tournament Odds: Merrimack In A One-Horse Race? At last weeks WM Phoenix Open, we identified Rickie Fowler as our top long shot bet. Hes dropped strokes to the field driving and on approach in consecutive events for the first time since earning his full tour card, but the long irons have continued to be much better than the field, and while distance is always going to be lacking, his accuracy continues to be elite. Farmers: Jason Day. Below, find my favorite value DFS options and longshots for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Im no longer concerned about the injury as hes proven to look good recently, gaining 1.41 strokes tee-to-green over his last 20 rounds and coming up with a T4 at Riviera. In six appearances at Bay Hill, Fleetwood has four top-25s finishes, including three top 10s (career-best third-place finish in 2019). The PGA Tour's best will be back at it this week at Bay Hill Club & Lodge near Orlando, Fla., for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Brandon Gdula, FanDuel/numberFire managing editor: Xander Schauffele (24-1, FanDuel) Bay Hill is a demanding test overall, and Schauffele has an all-around game thats as good as anyones. WebThe Arnold Palmer Invitational is set to take place this week from March 2-5, 2023, at the Bay Hill Golf Course. Best of luck if you choose to bet these PGA TOUR golf sleepers! In just his second year on TOUR, Pendrith has already accumulated 13 top-25 finishes, which span across comp courses like PGA National, Winged Foot and Torrey Pines. Hes trending toward another victory. Full sports betting coverage from The Philadelphia Inquirer, California residents do not sell my data request. by Mastercard. Andy Lack is a PGA Tour writer and podcaster from New York City who now resides in Los Angeles. He lost three strokes on approach at Riviera, a trend that has become more common for him than in any other point in his career. Speaking of patterns, how about the prices on Lowry lately? 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational props, odds, picks, field: Golf expert 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational One and Done picks, sleepers, purse: 2023 Puerto Rico Open odds, picks: Proven golf model reveals projected 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks, odds, Fantasy golf power Join SportsLine right now to see Patrick McDonald's top picks for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, all from the expert up more than $2,000 for the 2022-23 season, and find out. It has to be noted that Lowry is a former winner at the Honda and the field was lacking talent, but he still played well enough that a jump to +6500 is a bit of stretch, especially since hes got four competitive rounds of Florida golf under his belt while most of the best players in this tournament will be adjusting from West Coast golf. The course sets up for Rory as a drawer and bomber. WMPO: Sungjae Im. A graduate at Syracuse University, John works out of Jersey City as a Director of Media Strategy for HBO and HBO Max. Full Leaderboard . Last weeks PGA TOUR golf sleepers article produced a contender in Ben Martin at longshots odds, and well set out to find more diamonds in the rough again as we shift focus to Phoenix. The 2014 FedEx Cup champion has long odds this week to the tune of +10000 to win. Prior to Hovland, Mayakoba has been a week for middle- to longshots. Hoffman will assuredly not find himself on my outright card this week. Written By John Haslbauer on August 16, 2022. His game with the way hes hitting the ball right now should suit Bay Hill and we should see him improve from a T17 at the API a year ago. Christopher Powers, Golf Digest staff writer: Collin Morikawa (21-1, FanDuel) As much as Id love to make this a consensus Willy Z week, I have to stick with Morikawa, who came close for me at both Torrey and Riviera. Keegan is also one of the best in proximity on Par 3:150-200 yards, so he should have what it takes to survive the infamous Bear Trap, which features two par 3s measuring 179 and Longshot pick to win Arnold Palmer Invitational: Min Woo Lee (+15000). Golf betting and fantasy expert Sia Nejad, who correctly called Powers: Will Zalatoris Morikawa is my main play, but Im going to have a lot of trouble not adding Zalatoris at the 11th hour on Wednesday evening. But, the combination of trending tee-to-green play and elite course history make him a very appealing salary saver option on DraftKings this week. The Inquirer is not an online gambling operator, or a gambling site. Something clearly clicked for him at Riviera, and this is the number to cash in on. In a field as top-heavy as this one with so many elite options, a safe, high floor value player is going to be a must for DFS lineup construction purposes. The odds leap from there as Max Homa (+2000), Collin Morikawa (+2100) and Will Zalatoris (+2100) round out the top-six. (Photo: Brian Rothmuller/Icon Sportswire via AP Images). That consistency with the irons is hard to come by this far down the board, and is a crucial skillset to have at TPC Scottsdale. All picks and predictions are suggestions only. Caddie: Cameron Young (+360, DraftKings) As I said above, the course fits what he does well, and these are nice odds for someone who top-10s it a bunch (not this year, which is why its nearly 4-to-1. Hoffmans four top-15 finishes at the Arnold Palmer Invitational over the last five years are especially notable. Powers, Golf Digest: Chris Kirk (+600, DraftKings) Coming off his first win in eight years, Kirks confidence should be riding high. Hes clearly building toward a win with three top-six finishes in four starts in 2023, and if his short game continues to look like it did at the Genesis, that win is coming very soon. Powers, Golf Digest: Justin Thomas (20-1, Bet365) Im normally a if you can get JT at 20-1 or better, take it) guy, but Im just not loving what were seeing from him so far this season. Five 2022 PGA Championship Longshots and Darkhorses We Love To win your PGA Championship pool, you need to find the longshots and darkhorses with longer odds at Southern Hills, so here are some sleepers in the field. One of the TOURs most iconic stops, Colonial is a par 70 The Wake Forest connection with Arnold Palmer is obvious, but more so, hes very much like Rory in that hes a bomber who likes to move it from right to left. That makes the John Deere one of the weakest field events of the year -- but that doesn't mean there isn't money to be made betting it. Although Willy Z has been pretty brutal on the greens in his career, his lag putting has been notably good, and a great fit for the giant greens, while his short game remains quite underrated. Its yet another elevated event on the PGA Tourso its dangerous to put our chips down on one name over 20-1, but thats what were doing. Justin Thomas enters play in the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard at Bay Hill Club & Lodge with +2500 odds to win after a 20th-place performance in The Genesis Invitational at Riviera CC February 16 - 19 in his last tournament.Thomas has one win, and an average finish of 20th, in his 20 events during the past year Although his history at Bay Hill isnt extensive, he did finish T-24 here in 2020, his lone start. Other top contenders in the 2023 Arnold Palmer field include McIlroy (19-2), Scheffler (11-1), Max Homa (19-1), Collin Morikawa (21-1), Justin Thomas (23-1), Xander Pick to Win Arnold Palmer Invitational (0.5 Units): Rory McIlroy (+950). And most importantly, our experts have hit an outright winner in three consecutive weeksthanks to Christopher Powers 30-1 win on Chris Kirk last week. Add in Gdula and Stephen Hennesseys Tony Finau (16-1) winner at the Houston Open in the Fall and that gives the panel four outright hits on the 2022-23 season. The PGA Tour's best will be back at it this week at Bay Hill Club & Lodge near Orlando, Fla., for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Breaking down the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks for this week at Bay Hill with our best bets, One and Done selection and more PGA Tour expert picks. Now, McDonald has sifted through the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational field for the best value and locked in his best bets and favorites to avoid. Full Leaderboard . Build your customFanSided Daily email newsletter with news and analysis onAll Golf and all your favorite sports teams, TV shows, and more. Mayo: Keith Mitchell (45-1, DraftKings) The number is just too high when you can keep scrolling past his name and find truly elite players who just happen to be in worse current form. With the Phoenix Open open complete, the stars of the PGA Tour head to Riviera Country Club in Los Angeles this week for the 2023 Genesis Invitational, where Tiger Woods will make his long-awaited return. We warned you guys after Scottie Schefflers win in Phoenix once this panel gets hot, we tend to run hot! Even still, you can find him beyond 75-to-1 odds in this loaded field, and at the discounted DraftKings price of $7,600. Now its Rorys turn. The PGA Tour board on Tuesday night ratified a radical new approach for the 2024 schedule, Golfweek has confirmed. Latest Pre-Live FanDuel Massachusetts Promo: $100 Instantly! Hes not backing down. With lateral natural desert hazards and water threatening throughout this course, players will need to be in complete control of their driver off the tee, while those with above-average driving distance have been able to set up more scoring opportunities with shorter clubs into this firm and fast greens. Skip to navigation. Wind proved a decisive factor in the 2022 outcome of the Arnold Palmer and should be monitored closely ahead of tee off on Thursday. The 2021 John Deere Classic kicks off Thursday morning, with most of the PGA TOUR's best players already overseas for next week's major championship. Mayo: Tommy Fleetwood (+550, DraftKings) The irons arent back to elite levels, but he hasnt dropped strokes to the field in a PGA Tour event since the 2022 API, a tournament where he still finished T-20. These are the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks and best bets for what should be a great week at Bay Hill. Sam Eaton: Cameron Young (+8000) (Bet $100 to Win $8000) Sebastian Munoz became my second near-miss in the longshot column after Shane Lowry recorded a second-place earlier in the year. The 4th elevated event on the PGA Tour schedule takes place this week with the star-studded 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Top 40 Parlay: Chris Kirk and Tyrrell Hatton to both finish Top 40 (+179). Gdula: Keegan Bradley (75-1, FanDuel) Bradleys number on FanDuel Sportsbook is a lot longer than youll see in other places. Call 1-800-GAMBLER if you have a gambling problem. Generally speaking, this is not a week Im giving longshots much of a chance to contend. After starting out the season on a high note, the two-time PGA Tour winner looked downright beat the past two weeks, failing to finish inside the top-40 in back-to-back weeks. Heres our pick, the betting favorites and everything else you need to know for the week. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Keegan Bradley (+650, Bet365) Keegan hasnt missed a cut at Bay Hill in his 10 most recent appearances at Bay Hill, which includes four finishes of 11th or better. World No. American Express: Brian Harman. With all the top PGA Tour stars teeing it up again this week, the betting favorites share a lot of similarities with the very top of the Official World Golf Ranking. Lets take a look at some players down the board who could turn some heads at Bay Hill this week: Like in any sport, a big part in finding success in golf betting comes down to timing and noticing patterns. But its easy to see why we all like Z this week. So, Im looking to hone in on salary savers in inconsistent leading form who have a proven track record at Bay Hill. As I went through my initial research for the WM Phoenix Open, my first impression was that Brendan Steele would be the chalk value play, given his Course History, Comp Course History, and specialty as an elite ball striker, even in a field as strong as this. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. As for Conners, hes been somewhat shockingly bad of late, most noticeably at Riviera where he lost four strokes tee-to-green, something he hasnt done since the Memorial in June of 2021. Woods has never won at Riviera and enters the week at 150/1. Golfweek - Adam Woodard 19h It pays to play well on the PGA Tour, just ask this weeks winner, Chris Kirk. Overall, Im building my player pool this week around elite ball strikers who are reliable scramblers around the green with proven history at this event or other comp courses. Mayo won the 2022 Fantasy Sports Writing Association Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year and is a finalist for three FSWA Awards in 2023 (Best Podcast, Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year, Golf Writer of the Year). Breaking down the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks for this week at Bay Hill with our best bets, One and Done selection and more PGA Tour expert picks. So, its a week in which players will need to enter in polished tee-to-green form in order to contend. Hes riding a super-hot putter and is the most overvalued of the favorites, per my model. Arnold Palmer Invitational: Shane Lowry, Tommy Fleetwood among top long-shot plays at this weeks PGA Tour stop Check out our betting preview for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. 2nd Chance Bet Mayakoba: Thomas Detry. Another surprise: Tony Finau, a 28-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. Its still safe to say he enters the Arnold Palmer Invitational as a longshot, albeit one with great potential. The event tees off Thursday, and Rahm is the 7-1 favorite in the latest 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Bermuda: Mark Hubbard. RELATED: Want to become a better golf bettor? The Twitter handle is a joke. Call 1-800-GAMBLER if you have a gambling problem. There are no weaknesses in his game, but perhaps this is a letdown spot and a chance for us to finally get some value on someone down the board (please)? February 28, 2023 12:30 pm ET. Scottie won Phoenix, Rahm won Riv. As a Florida resident, Bradley has naturally looked comfortable on the Florida Swing, with six top-30 finishes over his last seven starts in the state. World No. Its translated to repeated success in this event as well, as Hahn has made it through the cut here in four of the last five years, with five top-25 finishes since 2013, most recently finishing top-10 here in 2021. The list of past champions and regular contenders is littered with those who have steadily contended in Majors, THE PLAYERS, or Ryder Cup and Presidents Cup atmospheres. Admittedly, Im a sucker for Viktor Hovland but I love all the trends Im seeing. Should he pull off a victory, he could turn a $10 bet into $550. Rick Gehman, data scientist and RickRunGood.com founder: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) For the first time this year, Zalatoris looks like himself again. For us this week, that man is Adam Scott. 21+: TheLines.com and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older. McDonald takes a measured approach to his outright selections and is having a profitable 2022-23 season. The intangible Im looking for from players inside the arena at TPC Scottsdale is an ability to perform in a high pressure atmosphere, and Steele has displayed poise in big moments, finishing top-15 at the PGA Championship and THE PLAYERS last season. by Mastercard. And while Fleetwood has yet to win in the U.S., he does boast 21 top-10 finishes in his career and 33% of those have come in Florida, including three at this very course. Your favorite teams, topics, and players all on your favorite mobile devices. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images). Masters: Wanna play Augusta National? The US Masters is scheduled for the first full week in April and as such, is the first of golf's four majors played each calendar year. After a lull last week with the Honda Classic, the heat picks up considerably for the next few weeks as we head to Bay Hill for the Arnold Palmier Invitational followed by THE PLAYERS Championship at TPC Sawgrass. https://golfweek.usatoday.com/lists/arnold-palmer-invitational-odds-sleeper-picks-tommy-fleetwood/, Mexico, Caribbean, Atlantic islands, Central America, Top 50 Classic Courses in Great Britain & Ireland, Top 50 Modern Courses in Great Britain & Ireland, PGA Tour approves radical schedule changes, reducing fields in elevated events and ending cuts, Drivers used by PGA Tour pros ranked in the top 10 in Strokes Gained: Off the Tee. It seemed like the whole world was betting him at every turn. Pat Mayo is an award-winning video host and producer of long and short-form content, and the host of The Pat Mayo Experience daily talk show. The trends show nine of the last 10 winners have opened at 55-1 odds or shorter, and with this year being the WM Phoenix Opens first as an elevated event, it seems that trend is poised to continue. Touts are lame. Wish it wouldve been his win at the Genesis but I still think he has win equity again this week and Im ready to burn him as a OaD play this week at Bay Hill. Andy Lack, RickRunGood.com and Inside Golf podcast: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) Zalatoris answered the lingering injury questions with a fourth-place finish at Riviera, where he gained 3.9 strokes off the tee, four strokes on approach, 2.4 strokes around the green and 2.4 strokes putting. Tough to know what a successful start will look like for the 15-time major winner. Arnold Palmer Invitational: Odds, expert picks to win, Keith Mitchell hits from the fourth hole tee during the third round of The Genesis Invitational golf tournament. Powers, Golf Digest: Keegan Bradley (-120) over Corey Conners (DraftKings) Keegans Bay Hill record is as good as anybodys in this field not named Rory McIlroy, and hes coming in in fine form. READ MORE: Which college basketball teams are bettors cashing in on? OVC Tournament Odds: Just How Vulnerable Is Morehead State? Stats pulled across Last 36 Rounds unless otherwise noted. The expert finished the 2021-22 season up 42 units on his outrights, including a MONSTER 250-1 payout on Hudson Swafford at The American Express. The winner hasnt been better than 12 under in any of the past four years, with two single-digit under par victors. ESPN+. Stephen Hennessey, Golf Digest dep. The DFS price at $7,200 is more than fair, and projected ownership doesnt look to be over the top yet, so Im a full go on Steele at TPC Scottsdale. February 28, 2023 12:30 pm ET. Powers, Golf Digest: Shane Lowry (65-1, FanDuel) Last week he was the toast of the town as the second favorite, and he wound up finishing top five. Golf News Written By John Haslbauer on February 28, 2023 For the third time in four weeks, all of the PGA TOURs best have assembled for an elevated event, However, Taylor Pendrith is a much more talented player than the gaudy odds would suggest. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop," where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy lineups. An was a popular play at +4500 last week, so going back to him at +20000 doesnt seem like a bad idea. Having missed only one cut over the last calendar year, Pendrith will be on my outright card and a core DFS play for me this week. Hahn is a volatile player who wont jump off the stat sheet, but with top-10 finishes last season at TPC Twin Cities and TPC Craig Ranch, hes beginning to show a trend in favoring the TPC-style, risk-reward layouts. I think he comes in and continues that with a strong Top 10 at great odds for the 11th-ranked player in the world. Here are your options. Atlantic Sun Tournament Odds: Liberty The Clear-Cut Favorite, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Tournament Preview: Everything You Need To Know About Bay Hill. I think this is a spot where we can fade Rahm, on a course that favors the drawers of the ball. In his last five starts and first five tournaments on the PGA Tour in 2023, Rahm has three victories, a Top 3 and a T7 finish. Maybe its the disorienting pressure of hundreds of thousands of raucous fans pumping life into this event, or simply the all-around tee-to-green test of TPC Scottsdale, but in any case, this has been a tournament where the cream rises to the top. Contending into the weekend at The Farmers in his previous start, Steele is in great form heading into a course hes shown consistent success at over his career. At Bay Hill, course history has proven more repeatable than just about any other course on the PGA TOUR schedule. Golf betting record in 2023 through Honda:12-27-1, -3.234 units (0-8 on outrights, 0.5 unit bets | +0.98 units at Honda)One-and-Done record in 2023: $1,523,924.22 (Shane Lowry at Honda, $288,120), Top 10 pick for Arnold Palmer Invitational: Viktor Hovland (+290). Its still safe to say he enters the Arnold Palmer Invitational appearances he... Field, and players all on your favorite teams, TV shows, and players on. The other was always stealing his ideas topics, and at the discounted DraftKings price $...: will Zalatoris ( 22-1, DraftKings ) this is a lot than... With two single-digit under par victors operator, or a gambling site TheLines.com all.: Want to become a better golf bettor, you can find him beyond 75-to-1 odds this. A successful start will look like for the week at Bay Hill comes in and continues that a! Golf course top-20 finishes over five career Arnold Palmer Invitational odds from Sportsbook! Know what a successful start will look like for the 15-time major winner trending play!, topics, and golf betting isnt that easy Want to become a better bettor! All on your favorite sports teams, topics, and Rahm is the 7-1 favorite in the placement market! Loaded field, and more Hovland, Mayakoba has been cashing in do not sell my data.. York City who now resides in Los Angeles John works out of Jersey City as a of! Its a week in which players will need to enter in polished tee-to-green form in order to contend Bradleys! To play well on the PGA Tour board on Tuesday night ratified a radical New for. 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From the Philadelphia Inquirer, California residents do not sell my data request off Thursday and...
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